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Red45
222412.5
31317.3
590722.6
Blue87
514420.3
585321.8
30826.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53642040801004587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#21
22.60.9
20.119.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End3.6
blue by 4.1
308
#7
26.61.4
24.225.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.8
End4.1
Second
313
#27
17.30.5
16.415.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 4.5
5853
#23
21.82.2
18.921.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
2224
#36
12.50.9
16.715.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 7.8
5144
#18
20.32.2
17.820.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed