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Red69
24014.6
341425.8
354832.6
Blue100
102341.6
354728.4
521718.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738640608010012014069100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3548
#12
32.60.3
33.433.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End5.6
blue by 9.0
41.61.2
38.539.7
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End8.9
Second
3414
#13
25.80.4
23.823.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End2.6
blue by 2.6
3547
#19
28.41.2
26.928.1
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End3.3
Third
240
#33
14.60.4
15.915.4
Auto1.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
blue by 3.6
5217
#25
18.21.7
16.618.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed