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Red167
295938.7
50339.8
524722.1
Blue107
608826.2
439023.9
437733.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369850150200250167107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
39.80.4
40.340.8
Auto11.1
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 6.7
4377
#13
33.10.1
33.033.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Second
38.70.4
39.339.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
red by 12.6
6088
#20
26.20.1
26.126.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Third
5247
#21
22.10.4
22.623.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
blue by 1.8
4390
#11
23.90.1
23.823.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4