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Red142
295938.7
50339.8
524722.1
Blue84
159631.2
505332.8
437523.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610705015020025030014284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
39.80.3
40.840.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 6.9
32.80.6
33.432.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Second
38.70.3
39.739.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
red by 7.5
1596
#14
31.20.6
31.831.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.1
Third
5247
#21
22.10.3
23.122.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
blue by 1.8
4375
#15
23.90.6
24.523.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.1