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Red112
566128.4
482726.8
511023.7
Blue133
159631.2
505332.8
437523.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511450150200112133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.3
28.128.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.8
End3.6
blue by 4.4
32.80.0
33.533.4
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Second
26.80.3
26.526.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End3.7
blue by 4.4
1596
#14
31.20.0
31.831.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.1
Third
5110
#17
23.70.3
23.423.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 0.2
4375
#15
23.90.0
24.524.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.1