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Red114
550534.4
353537.3
283230.7
Blue111
523035.3
439228.4
570219.3
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13694050150200114111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.3
37.837.4
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
red by 1.9
35.30.2
35.135.3
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
Second
5505
#12
34.40.3
34.934.6
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
red by 6.0
28.40.2
28.228.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Third
2832
#22
30.70.3
31.230.9
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 11.4
5702
#31
19.30.2
19.219.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8