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Red148
550534.4
353537.3
283230.7
Blue153
477929.8
361733.0
497032.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131112050100150200250148153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.0
37.537.5
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
red by 4.3
3617
#10
33.00.3
32.632.9
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End7.7
Second
5505
#12
34.40.0
34.734.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
red by 2.1
4970
#29
32.40.3
32.032.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
2832
#22
30.70.0
30.930.9
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 0.9
4779
#16
29.80.3
29.429.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End5.3