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Red77
550534.4
611325.1
497032.4
Blue90
511023.7
523035.3
353537.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89812040601001201401607790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#12
34.40.9
32.731.9
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
blue by 2.8
37.30.7
33.634.2
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
Second
4970
#29
32.40.9
27.126.2
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End2.0
blue by 2.9
35.30.7
29.830.4
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
Third
6113
#32
25.10.9
25.324.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
red by 1.3
5110
#17
23.71.1
16.918.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed