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Red40
511023.7
439527.0
224613.2
Blue99
570619.9
566128.4
523035.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546402040801001201401604099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4395
#27
27.02.1
17.615.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End5.3
blue by 8.3
35.31.9
26.828.7
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
Second
5110
#17
23.72.1
18.216.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 4.7
28.41.9
20.822.7
Auto9.0
Teleop15.8
End3.6
Third
2246
#40
13.22.1
18.116.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 6.7
5706
#33
19.91.9
12.814.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed