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Red84
132226.3
437523.9
295938.7
Blue81
159631.2
497032.4
531421.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6969506080908481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.2
33.835.0
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
red by 6.3
4970
#29
32.40.9
25.726.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Second
1322
#23
26.31.2
17.819.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.6
blue by 4.9
1596
#14
31.20.9
27.027.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.1
Third
4375
#15
23.91.3
14.615.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.1
red by 2.9
5314
#36
21.01.0
15.116.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed