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Red87
159631.2
439228.4
608826.2
Blue76
569225.8
361733.0
471524.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757740601001201408776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#14
31.20.9
28.729.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.1
blue by 1.8
3617
#10
33.00.1
28.028.1
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End7.7
Second
28.40.9
25.626.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
red by 2.7
5692
#24
25.80.1
25.225.3
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Third
6088
#20
26.20.9
18.719.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.4
End4.0
red by 1.7
4715
#28
24.40.1
21.221.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed