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Red45
570619.9
569519.1
611325.1
Blue79
224613.2
295938.7
477929.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568220401001201404579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6113
#32
25.10.9
24.423.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
blue by 13.7
38.70.2
37.237.4
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
Second
5706
#33
19.90.9
13.913.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.5
End3.1
blue by 9.9
4779
#16
29.80.2
26.626.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Third
5695
#39
19.10.9
20.119.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.5
red by 5.9
2246
#40
13.20.3
12.312.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed