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Red75
132226.3
497032.4
224613.2
Blue82
571230.8
439023.9
471524.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5578020401001207582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#29
32.41.2
26.227.4
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End2.0
red by 1.6
30.80.6
31.632.2
Auto11.3
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Second
1322
#23
26.31.2
18.119.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.6
red by 1.9
4715
#28
24.40.6
21.321.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Third
2246
#40
13.22.0
12.614.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 10.6
4390
#11
23.90.6
19.620.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed