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Red74
607724.6
224613.2
353537.3
Blue87
283230.7
569225.8
482726.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6986204060801001207487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.3
34.835.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
red by 6.6
2832
#22
30.70.1
31.131.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Second
6077
#19
24.60.5
20.220.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 2.2
26.80.1
24.124.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End3.7
Third
2246
#40
13.20.5
14.615.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 12.5
5692
#24
25.80.1
26.026.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed