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Red86
477929.8
569519.1
471524.4
Blue105
295938.7
505332.8
524722.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659120408010012014086105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#16
29.80.9
26.827.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End5.3
blue by 9.0
38.70.7
37.438.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
Second
4715
#28
24.40.9
21.922.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End4.3
blue by 8.4
32.80.7
29.330.0
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Third
5695
#39
19.10.9
18.019.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.5
blue by 3.0
5247
#21
22.10.7
17.518.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned