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Red72
607724.6
611325.1
571230.8
Blue65
439023.9
566128.4
607919.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8872204060801001201407265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.8
32.832.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 2.4
28.40.5
28.327.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.8
End3.6
Second
6113
#32
25.10.8
25.624.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
red by 1.2
4390
#11
23.90.5
23.823.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
6077
#19
24.60.9
24.924.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End3.0
red by 5.3
6079
#37
19.30.5
20.219.7
Auto1.4
Teleop14.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed