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Red41
608719.1
224613.2
531421.0
Blue84
132226.3
511023.7
159631.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538102040601001201404184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#36
21.01.0
20.219.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.2
blue by 10.2
1596
#14
31.20.6
31.532.1
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.1
Second
6087
#35
19.11.0
20.619.6
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End2.8
blue by 7.3
1322
#23
26.30.6
22.423.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.6
Third
2246
#40
13.21.2
14.813.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 10.5
5110
#17
23.70.8
20.621.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed