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Red107
497032.4
283230.7
353537.3
Blue96
570219.3
607124.5
295938.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047720406012014016010796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.7
36.437.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
blue by 1.5
38.71.1
40.041.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
Second
4970
#29
32.40.7
29.129.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End2.0
red by 7.9
6071
#25
24.51.1
23.825.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.3
Third
2832
#22
30.70.7
31.632.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 11.4
5702
#31
19.31.1
15.016.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed