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Red79
554726.3
598924.0
611325.1
Blue94
607724.6
471524.4
437733.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73854060801001207994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#26
26.30.4
24.625.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End4.5
blue by 6.8
4377
#13
33.10.5
33.033.5
Auto8.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Second
6113
#32
25.10.4
24.825.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
red by 0.5
6077
#19
24.60.6
24.024.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Third
5989
#30
24.00.4
23.724.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End4.3
blue by 0.4
4715
#28
24.40.5
23.924.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed