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Red65
607919.3
477929.8
553520.4
Blue96
437523.9
608826.2
511023.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7272506080901006596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#16
29.80.3
29.829.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End5.3
red by 3.6
6088
#20
26.21.4
25.226.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Second
5535
#34
20.40.3
20.820.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 3.5
4375
#15
23.91.4
23.124.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Third
6079
#37
19.30.3
19.719.3
Auto1.4
Teleop14.6
End3.3
blue by 4.4
5110
#17
23.71.6
21.423.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed