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Red139
21739.8
213739.6
586027.1
Blue102
285127.2
602026.7
499427.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134976080120160180200139102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
39.80.1
38.939.0
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End8.4
red by 12.5
4994
#21
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto5.1
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Second
39.60.1
38.738.8
Auto13.6
Teleop20.2
End5.8
red by 12.4
2851
#24
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
5860
#31
27.10.1
26.126.3
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
red by 0.4
6020
#12
26.70.0
26.626.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1