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Red134
21739.8
213739.6
586027.1
Blue101
515036.3
260419.7
436822.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369350150200250134101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
39.80.1
39.539.5
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End8.4
red by 3.6
5150
#13
36.30.1
36.236.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.3
End5.8
Second
39.60.1
39.239.3
Auto13.6
Teleop20.2
End5.8
red by 17.3
4368
#19
22.30.1
22.222.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Third
5860
#31
27.10.1
26.726.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
red by 7.4
19.70.1
19.619.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8