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Red129
353437.7
515537.7
592628.9
Blue151
413030.1
353534.2
477928.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311126080100120140160180129151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.4
37.537.1
Auto11.6
Teleop20.0
End6.1
red by 3.5
3535
#11
34.20.2
34.234.4
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End6.3
Second
37.70.4
37.537.0
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End12.5
red by 7.6
4130
#15
30.10.2
30.130.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End5.4
Third
5926
#29
28.90.4
28.628.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End9.6
red by 0.9
4779
#14
28.00.2
28.028.2
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End4.8