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Red117
21739.8
504633.7
602026.7
Blue90
515036.3
609115.0
413030.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9379406010012014011790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
39.81.2
37.038.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End8.4
red by 3.6
5150
#13
36.30.8
32.533.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.3
End5.8
Second
33.70.9
33.033.9
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 3.6
4130
#15
30.10.8
32.533.2
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End5.4
Third
6020
#12
26.70.9
18.018.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1
red by 11.7
6091
#38
15.01.3
13.715.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed