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Red82
477928.0
609030.8
608526.9
Blue80
586027.1
214519.2
561227.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626801001502002503008280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#18
30.82.3
18.020.3
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End5.8
red by 3.4
5612
#23
27.50.6
23.924.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Second
4779
#14
28.01.4
22.123.4
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End4.8
red by 0.9
5860
#31
27.10.6
24.124.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
Third
6085
#16
26.91.4
21.222.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.2
red by 7.7
2145
#35
19.21.1
17.618.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed