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Red76
353437.7
102533.3
501712.7
Blue52
285127.2
520116.8
592628.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7761020401001207652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.2
31.131.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End12.5
red by 8.8
5926
#29
28.90.6
28.728.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End9.6
Second
1025
#17
33.30.2
28.228.4
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
red by 6.1
2851
#24
27.21.0
15.514.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
5017
#40
12.70.2
13.313.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End0.1
blue by 4.1
5201
#36
16.80.6
17.116.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed