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Red63
477928.0
353534.2
561227.5
Blue72
609835.8
102533.3
584328.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8479506070901001101206372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#11
34.21.5
31.930.4
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End6.3
blue by 1.6
35.80.4
25.725.2
Auto12.1
Teleop16.8
End6.9
Second
4779
#14
28.01.5
23.622.1
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End4.8
blue by 5.3
1025
#17
33.30.4
27.126.7
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Third
5612
#23
27.51.5
25.423.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.1
blue by 0.9
28.40.4
25.124.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed