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Red64
499810.9
213739.6
586027.1
Blue67
260419.7
515620.1
413030.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7368506080906467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.8
32.731.9
Auto13.6
Teleop20.2
End5.8
red by 9.6
4130
#15
30.10.3
32.832.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End5.4
Second
5860
#31
27.10.8
24.924.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
red by 7.0
5156
#37
20.10.4
21.821.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
4998
#39
10.90.7
12.611.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End-0.4
blue by 8.8
19.70.3
12.211.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed