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Red66
501712.7
260419.7
608526.9
Blue119
477928.0
213739.6
21739.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46109020608010012014016066119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6085
#16
26.90.8
24.525.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.2
blue by 12.9
217
#5
39.81.5
36.738.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End8.4
Second
19.70.8
16.717.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
blue by 20.0
39.61.5
35.236.8
Auto13.6
Teleop20.2
End5.8
Third
5017
#40
12.70.8
12.913.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End0.1
blue by 15.3
4779
#14
28.01.5
24.325.8
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned