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Red100
353437.7
521416.9
516731.6
Blue85
353534.2
610815.5
584328.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8981406010012014010085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.0
35.836.8
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End12.5
red by 3.5
3535
#11
34.20.3
32.031.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End6.3
Second
31.61.0
32.633.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.0
red by 3.2
28.40.3
28.227.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.2
End4.4
Third
5214
#34
16.91.0
16.517.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
red by 1.4
6108
#33
15.50.5
19.318.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed