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Red77
285127.2
566020.6
521416.9
Blue84
609325.0
260419.7
353534.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587620401001207784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#24
27.21.7
22.324.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End4.2
blue by 7.0
3535
#11
34.20.9
30.831.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End6.3
Second
5660
#30
20.61.2
18.820.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.4
blue by 4.3
6093
#22
25.01.2
22.523.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End3.6
Third
5214
#34
16.91.2
17.919.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
blue by 2.8
19.70.9
17.718.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed