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Red104
366728.3
608526.9
504828.3
Blue94
353437.7
499427.4
561227.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8489608010012010494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#10
28.31.1
28.529.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End5.6
blue by 9.4
37.70.6
36.136.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End12.5
Second
3667
#25
28.31.1
28.129.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.1
End5.3
red by 0.8
5612
#23
27.50.6
25.826.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Third
6085
#16
26.91.1
26.127.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.2
blue by 0.5
4994
#21
27.40.6
23.724.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned