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Red110
353534.2
285127.2
21739.8
Blue78
592628.9
499427.4
515620.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100702040608012014016011078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
39.81.2
37.038.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End8.4
red by 11.0
5926
#29
28.90.3
26.827.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End9.6
Second
3535
#11
34.21.2
31.732.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End6.3
red by 6.8
4994
#21
27.40.3
24.324.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Third
2851
#24
27.21.5
24.125.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 7.1
5156
#37
20.10.3
21.722.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed