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Red69
609030.8
609115.0
436822.3
Blue94
609835.8
612024.3
578424.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607820401001201406994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#18
30.80.7
27.328.0
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End5.8
blue by 5.0
35.81.4
31.032.4
Auto12.1
Teleop16.8
End6.9
Second
4368
#19
22.30.6
20.220.8
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
blue by 2.1
5784
#26
24.41.4
21.322.7
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End4.8
Third
6091
#38
15.00.7
13.214.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 9.3
6120
#27
24.31.8
21.022.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed