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Red74
501712.7
561227.5
516731.6
Blue76
260419.7
504633.7
126.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70832040601001207476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.3
30.831.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.0
blue by 2.1
33.70.2
34.634.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
5612
#23
27.50.3
26.326.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 1.4
1
#28
26.00.2
25.225.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End4.1
Third
5017
#40
12.70.3
12.713.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End0.1
blue by 6.9
19.70.2
18.618.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed