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Red80
521416.9
515036.3
543625.0
Blue109
213739.6
601920.1
353437.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7599406012014016080109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#13
36.30.2
35.535.8
Auto9.1
Teleop21.3
End5.8
blue by 3.4
39.60.8
37.938.7
Auto13.6
Teleop20.2
End5.8
Second
5436
#20
25.00.2
21.621.9
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
blue by 12.6
37.70.8
36.737.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End12.5
Third
5214
#34
16.90.2
19.119.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
blue by 3.2
6019
#32
20.11.0
18.019.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed