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Red102
499427.4
578424.4
504828.3
Blue73
353437.7
499810.9
413030.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788320406010012014010273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#10
28.31.0
29.530.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End5.6
blue by 9.4
37.70.5
37.537.0
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End12.5
Second
4994
#21
27.41.0
24.625.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.9
End4.4
blue by 2.7
4130
#15
30.10.5
32.131.6
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End5.4
Third
5784
#26
24.41.0
22.723.7
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End4.8
red by 13.5
4998
#39
10.90.5
10.710.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed