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Red55
501712.7
515620.1
504633.7
Blue58
521416.9
436822.3
601920.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726202040801001201405558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.9
34.633.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 11.4
4368
#19
22.30.3
22.322.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Second
5156
#37
20.10.9
21.020.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 0.1
6019
#32
20.10.3
20.420.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Third
5017
#40
12.70.9
13.012.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End0.1
blue by 4.1
5214
#34
16.90.3
19.419.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed