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Red89
511439.9
619332.2
607119.8
Blue140
353834.8
261931.5
522220.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118107608010014016018089140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.5
40.439.9
Auto10.7
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 5.1
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.6
End6.6
Second
32.20.5
32.832.2
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End6.1
red by 0.7
31.50.0
31.631.5
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End4.1
Third
6071
#19
19.80.5
20.319.8
Auto1.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
blue by 0.5
5222
#20
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.8