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Red108
511439.9
619332.2
607119.8
Blue131
353834.8
261931.5
522220.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181076080100140160180108131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.1
40.540.4
Auto10.7
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 5.1
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.6
End6.6
Second
32.20.1
32.932.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End6.1
red by 0.7
31.50.0
31.631.6
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End4.1
Third
6071
#19
19.80.1
20.420.3
Auto1.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
blue by 0.5
5222
#20
20.30.0
20.420.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.8