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Red154
353834.8
261931.5
522220.3
Blue92
377028.8
520329.8
548724.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810440608012014016018015492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.3
34.434.7
Auto8.6
Teleop19.6
End6.6
red by 5.0
29.80.3
30.029.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Second
31.50.3
31.231.5
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End4.1
red by 2.8
3770
#10
28.80.3
29.028.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.5
End7.8
Third
5222
#20
20.30.3
20.020.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 4.2
5487
#18
24.50.3
24.824.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9