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Red71
353834.8
261931.5
522220.3
Blue98
377028.8
520329.8
548724.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010460801201407198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.5
34.934.4
Auto8.6
Teleop19.6
End6.6
red by 5.0
29.80.1
30.230.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Second
31.50.5
31.731.2
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End4.1
red by 2.8
3770
#10
28.80.1
29.229.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.5
End7.8
Third
5222
#20
20.30.5
20.420.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 4.2
5487
#18
24.50.1
24.924.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9