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Red103
550930.6
521625.5
22628.8
Blue97
566120.8
606729.9
516627.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10094608012014010397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#12
30.60.1
31.331.2
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End8.3
red by 0.7
29.90.0
29.029.0
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
Second
226
#32
28.80.1
29.529.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End6.9
red by 1.7
5166
#33
27.10.0
26.226.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Third
25.50.1
26.226.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.6
red by 4.7
5661
#26
20.80.0
20.020.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.3