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Red66
556124.9
22628.8
556025.4
Blue101
516627.1
361836.2
523119.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7677708085909566101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#32
28.80.9
26.725.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End6.9
blue by 7.5
36.21.4
31.633.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.2
End4.1
Second
5560
#25
25.40.6
25.224.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End3.4
blue by 1.7
5166
#33
27.11.6
25.026.6
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Third
5561
#15
24.90.5
22.121.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End5.4
red by 5.5
5231
#39
19.42.4
17.820.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed