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Red91
521625.5
542427.9
606626.6
Blue68
189622.4
607323.7
520329.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65664050607080909168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#16
27.93.0
16.919.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End6.3
blue by 1.8
29.80.3
27.427.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Second
6066
#17
26.61.8
24.926.7
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 2.8
6073
#29
23.70.3
19.720.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Third
25.51.8
22.224.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.6
red by 3.1
1896
#28
22.40.5
16.517.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed