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Red62
566120.8
550930.6
606729.9
Blue59
522921.1
519320.9
357026.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65644050607080906259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#12
30.60.1
25.725.6
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End8.3
red by 4.3
3570
#14
26.30.2
25.625.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End3.7
Second
29.90.1
19.719.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
red by 8.7
5229
#37
21.10.2
22.322.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End2.4
Third
5661
#26
20.80.1
17.517.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.3
blue by 0.1
5193
#22
20.90.2
14.013.8
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed