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Red57
603321.8
525713.0
544727.0
Blue69
522220.3
548724.5
607119.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584601001502002503005769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5447
#11
27.00.1
20.921.1
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End3.9
red by 2.5
5487
#18
24.50.8
20.121.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Second
6033
#34
21.89.4
25.315.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 1.4
5222
#20
20.31.4
17.518.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.8
Third
5257
#40DQ
13.00.2
18.318.5
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 6.7
6071
#19
19.80.9
9.09.9
Auto1.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed