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Red79
516627.1
607323.7
607119.8
Blue56
553816.6
606729.9
523119.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66612040801001207956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#33
27.11.0
26.927.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
blue by 2.8
29.90.3
23.923.7
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
Second
6073
#29
23.71.0
22.723.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 4.3
5231
#39
19.40.4
17.517.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
6071
#19
19.81.0
14.015.0
Auto1.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
red by 3.1
5538
#38
16.60.3
18.418.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed