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Red78
570321.0
22628.8
560323.1
Blue71
548724.5
603321.8
606626.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6674204060801007871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#32
28.81.4
26.427.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End6.9
red by 2.2
6066
#17
26.60.0
29.829.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Second
5603
#36
23.11.4
20.421.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 1.4
5487
#18
24.50.0
22.222.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Third
5703
#30
21.00.8
18.819.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
blue by 0.7
6033
#34
21.80.0
18.518.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed