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Red80
498823.2
570321.0
516627.1
Blue91
353834.8
610220.0
571229.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6788204060801001201408091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#33
27.10.8
26.927.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
blue by 7.7
34.80.1
33.233.1
Auto8.6
Teleop19.6
End6.6
Second
4988
#23
23.21.1
21.622.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.4
End3.3
blue by 6.7
29.90.1
29.329.2
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Third
5703
#30
21.00.8
20.020.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
red by 1.0
6102
#27
20.00.1
19.819.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed